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Ireland’s Environment – An Assessment 2016

148

Global Sustainability Models

Both the economy and the society that hosts it can

only exist within the confines of the environmental

and resource boundaries available.

One of the main frailties of the global sustainability

model up to recent years was the incorrect perception

that the social, economic and environmental pillars of the

sustainable development paradigm were equally weighted,

as represented in the classic sustainability Venn diagram

(Figure 9.1).

In fact, the relationship is less equal and, at the same

time, more complex. Our economy can only expand within

society’s ability to support it. Both the economy and the

society that hosts it can only exist within the confines of

the environmental and resource boundaries available. The

nested dependencies featured in Figure 9.1 are a better

representation of this understanding of the sustainable

development paradigm. Infinite economic expansion

without regard to environmental constraints is illogical,

immoral and, ultimately, impossible.

Economic Cost of Not Protecting our

Environment

The proposed economic cost of climate change impacts

for the EU – in the absence of adaptation actions – is in

the order of tens of billions of euros per year.

Insufficient protection and preservation of our environment

has a significant economic cost. The World Economic

Forum comments that “… the undesirable environmental

consequences of human activity are leading to a less

habitable world” (World Economic Forum, 2014). The World

Health Organization (WHO) estimated that the overall annual

economic cost of health impacts and mortality from air

pollution, including estimates for morbidity costs, amounts

to €1.45 trillion (WHO Regional Office for Europe, 2015).

Another significant economic and social cost resulting

from environmental impact derives from climate change.

A recent European Union (EU) study on climate change

impacts proposed that the economic cost – in the absence of

adaptation actions – for the EU was in order of tens of billions

of euros per year (Ciscar

et al

., 2014). The economic costs-

avoided imperative is recognised in the intergovernmental

agreement reached following the Climate Change COP21

meeting in Paris in December 2015, one of the recitals to

which emphasises the “enduring benefits of ambitious and

early action (on climate change), including major reductions

in the cost of future mitigation and adaptation efforts”.

The World Economic Forum notes that social and

environmental sustainability issues increasingly influence

economic policy decisions and can have an impact on

economic performance (World Economic Forum, 2014).

Our future economic and social stability and resilience

requires accelerated and sustained action to reimagine and

decarbonise our society and move to an enduring state of

carbon neutrality.

National “Environomic” Performance

The challenge is to maintain the recent good

environmental performance in a recovering economy.

There is some evidence of the need to decouple economic

activity and growth from environmental impact. In recent

years, Ireland has moved from a position of being one of

the most resource-inefficient economies in the EU (our

rate of material consumption was growing faster than

the population) to greatly improve its efficiency in terms

of raw material consumption per capita (Figure 9.2).

The reduction in personal consumption and building

programmes over this period (associated with the

economic downturn) has – we believe – largely contributed

to this trend. This reduction in building has induced social

challenges (e.g. housing availability), suggesting that the

scale of reduction was too severe and poorly managed.

Better integration and coherence between environmental,

economic and social policy needs could act to mitigate

these shock swings.

Figure 9.1

Sustainable Development Paradigm

Ecological

Economy

Society

Environmental

Limits

Livable

Social

Viable

Sustainable

Fair

Economic